Sunday, November 16, 2008

Oregon Ranked 22 & 24 in USA Today and AP

The notorious November fade that has been synonymous with Oregon football the last few seasons has finally vanished...at least for the 2008 season. Wins over a formidable Stanford squad and a offensively dangerous Arizona team have put the Ducks back in the Top 25 right before a bye week. Before the season started I slated the Ducks for a 9-3 regular season record with losses to Arizona St., Cal and USC. With a win over Oregon St. the Ducks would achieve that 9-3 record and would most likely clinch a birth in the Holiday Bowl. Here's the updated Pac-10 standings after yesterdays games.

TEAMCONF. W-LOVERALL W-L
-USC7-19-1
-Oregon State6-17-3
-Oregon6-28-3
-Arizona4-36-4
-California4-36-4
Stanford4-45-6
UCLA3-44-6
Arizona State3-44-6
x-Washington0-70-10
x-Washington State0-81-10

USC, Oregon State and Oregon have sizable leads over Arizona and Cal at this point in the conference standings so I'll break down some scenarios of what we can expect for the Ducks.

1) Oregon State goes down to Arizona next week, beats the Wildcats and then proceeds to beat Oregon the following week. USC would go to another BCS game that doesn't have "Rose" in the title while Oregon State would be playing against Penn St. in Pasadena. California would have to win out against Stanford and Washington to be 6-4 and take the Holiday Bowl away from the Ducks since they hold the tie-breaker over Oregon, but do they really beat Stanford? That will be a game to watch next week.

2) Oregon State goes down to Arizona but loses, and then beats Oregon in the Civil War. USC takes the Rose Bowl while Oregon St. takes the Holiday Bowl. Oregon wouldn't be able to play in the Sun Bowl again since there is a "no repeat" clause which would keep them out. That leaves either a trip to San Francisco for the Emerald Bowl or to Las Vegas. Likely opponents for Oregon would be TCU in the Vegas Bowl and Georgia Tech in the Emerald.

3) Oregon State loses to the Wildcats next saturday and then loses to Oregon the following week (they inherit the November fade). USC takes the Rose Bowl while Oregon is a Holiday Bowl lock. This is the scenario I would most like to see.

Amazingly enough, there are two scenarios that have Oregon winding up in the Holiday Bowl, but they are predicated on Cal losing to Stanford (which could easily happen) and Oregon State winning out. Ultimately, Oregon controls its own destiny to play in the Holiday Bowl which is kind of refreshing...especially since nobody is talking about that yet. CBS Sportsline has Oregon slated for the Las Vegas Bowl against TCU which would be a pretty interesting game, but the Las Vegas Bowl is for the Pac-10 team ranked #5 in the final standings and Oregon can't finish any better than 4th at this point so I'm not quite sure how they came up with that.

Oregon did a great job of pissing of the Wildcats yesterday so I'm sure they will be more than eager to beat the Beavers next Saturday in the desert. Arizona has had a knack in recent years for beating ranked opponents that had high hopes of post season play, and I'm sure the crowd will be riled up to bring down the Beavers. I know Beaver fans want nothing more than to get national recognition in the Top 25, but I believe this is one of those times that their ranking will actually work against them. Arizona will be playing extra hard just to knock off a ranked opponent at home and to add Oregon St. as another statistic to their resume.

*Notice that I didn't mention Arizona in the above scenarios simply because Oregon holds the tie-breaker over them after yesterdays win. Arizona could beat both Oregon State and Arizona St. to finish the year, but still settle for a lower bowl game even if Oregon ends up 6-3 in Pac-10 play.*

Sadly enough, CBS Sportsline has Miami playing Pittsburgh in the Orange Bowl on January 1st. How in the hell are those two teams even worthy of playing in a BCS game?! The ACC champion is an Orange Bowl lock and it would seem that Miami is primed to take the crown considering the ACC is horrid. The Orange Bowl gets the last pick in the BCS bowl selection process and will end up with either an undefeated non BCS sqaud or the Big East champion. Whoopity doo for that bowl game...what a joke.

Here's a funny video I found while searching "College Gameday" on YouTube...it's of Lee Corso dropping an "F" Bomb. Check it out:

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